US OCTOBER CPI DUE TUESDAY: ECONOMISTS EXPECT SLOWER MONTHLY PRICE GROWTH
The US October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is due on Tuesday. The Bloomberg survey median forecasts headline CPI rising 0.3% month-on-month, half September’s 0.6% increase, which was the largest monthly gain since April.
Core CPI is also expected to moderate, with the Bloomberg survey median projecting a 0.2% monthly increase. This would mark the smallest monthly advance in three months.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) did not publish an October 2025 CPI report, so no year-on-year comparison is available for October, according to Bloomberg.
Separately, Bloomberg Economics forecasts headline CPI growth of 0.25% month-on-month and core CPI growth of 0.24%, compared with 0.65% and 0.33% in September. Its analysis identifies used vehicles, consumer electronics and owners’ equivalent rent among the components expected to record slower price increases.
The October CPI report will be the last inflation release before the Federal Reserve’s December policy meeting. Investors expect policymakers to raise interest rates at that meeting, according to Bloomberg.
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