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Daily Market Update ته بیرته

Daily Market Update

WEEK AHEAD: FED, BOE AND BOJ MEETINGS SET TO DRIVE CURRENCY MARKETS

Fed, BoE and BoJ policy meetings take center stage this week, with inflation, economic data and central bank guidance likely to influence USD, GBP and JPY markets.

Daily Market Update September 14, 2026

WEEK AHEAD: FED, BOE AND BOJ MEETINGS SET TO DRIVE CURRENCY MARKETS

WEEK AHEAD: FED, BOE AND BOJ MEETINGS SET TO DRIVE CURRENCY MARKETS

Global currency markets enter a key week as investors focus on policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan. Inflation data, economic conditions and central bank guidance will be the main drivers for USD, GBP and JPY movements.

In the US, markets focus on the Federal Reserve meeting and updated economic projections following recent inflation data. While core inflation remains above the Fed’s preferred level, investors are watching for further signals on the future rate path. Retail sales data also remains important as consumer spending continues to show resilience.

In the UK, the Bank of England is expected to keep rates unchanged as inflation and wage growth remain key considerations. Service inflation and economic conditions will influence expectations for future policy adjustments.

For Japan, the Bank of Japan continues to assess the pace of monetary policy normalization. Inflation remains around target levels, but weaker domestic demand and mixed growth data support a gradual approach to further rate increases.

For market participants, the key focus remains on Fed policy signals, BoE inflation assessments, BoJ rate expectations and their impact on USD, GBP and JPY markets. These central bank decisions and economic indicators may provide important guidance for currency market direction in the week ahead.

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EUROZONE PMI FALLS TO 51.9 AS EUR/GBP HITS FRESH LOWS

Daily Market Update

EUROZONE PMI FALLS TO 51.9 AS EUR/GBP HITS FRESH LOWS

The Eurozone’s preliminary composite PMI fell to 51.9 in October from 53.1 in September, missing expectations of 52.7 as services and manufacturing activity slowed. Rising energy costs and concerns over France’s fiscal outlook added pressure on the Euro. Meanwhile, the UK composite PMI rose to 53.1, supporting Sterling and contributing to EUR/GBP reaching an 18-month low.

GOLD FALLS BELOW $4,000 FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE JULY AS YIELDS AND USD WEIGH

Daily Market Update

GOLD FALLS BELOW $4,000 FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE JULY AS YIELDS AND USD WEIGH

Gold falls below $4,000 per ounce for the first time since July as elevated US Treasury yields, a firm Dollar and expectations of further Fed tightening weigh on prices. Equity market sell-offs have also triggered bullion selling, while central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to support gold's longer-term outlook. Markets now focus on the Fed's October 28 decision for clues on the metal's next move.

SNB SAYS INCREASED WILLINGNESS TO INTERVENE NO LONGER NECESSARY

Daily Market Update

SNB SAYS INCREASED WILLINGNESS TO INTERVENE NO LONGER NECESSARY

The Swiss National Bank maintains its policy rate at 0% and says a higher willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets is no longer necessary. The Swiss Franc depreciated around 3% on a trade-weighted basis between June and September, easing overall monetary conditions. With headline inflation at 0.8% and the 2026 GDP growth forecast upgraded to 1.5%–2.0%, the SNB expects price stability to remain intact over its forecast horizon.

FRENCH YIELDS TOP 5% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2002 AS MOODY’S REVIEW LOOMS

Daily Market Update

FRENCH YIELDS TOP 5% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE 2002 AS MOODY’S REVIEW LOOMS

EUR/USD trades just below 1.1250 as French 10-year government bond yields exceed 5% for the first time since 2002, adding pressure on the Euro ahead of Moody’s credit rating review. Markets are monitoring Eurozone and US PMI data, ECB and Fed rate expectations, and key technical levels, with resistance at 1.1250 and support at 1.1200, 1.1150 and 1.1100.

UK CPI HITS 3.5%: CORE AND SERVICE INFLATION ALSO ACCELERATE

Daily Market Update

UK CPI HITS 3.5%: CORE AND SERVICE INFLATION ALSO ACCELERATE

UK inflation accelerated to 3.5% in September, exceeding the 3.4% forecast. Core CPI rose to 2.8%, while services inflation increased to 3.7%, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England may maintain a restrictive policy stance. Markets are monitoring persistent inflation pressures and the outlook for further rate tightening.

DXY GIVES BACK EARLY GAINS AS AI RISKS KEEP USD UNDER PRESSURE

Daily Market Update

DXY GIVES BACK EARLY GAINS AS AI RISKS KEEP USD UNDER PRESSURE

The US Dollar Index trades near 101.80 after retreating from an intraday high of 102.01, as concerns over the AI investment cycle weigh on the Dollar. Markets are monitoring French 10-year bond yields near 4.85%, Fed rate expectations and technical support at 101.65, with the RSI at 57 indicating that bullish momentum remains above neutral.

GBP/USD REBOUNDS FROM YTD LOW TO FRESH MONTHLY HIGH

Daily Market Update

GBP/USD REBOUNDS FROM YTD LOW TO FRESH MONTHLY HIGH

GBP/USD climbs to a fresh monthly high near 1.3325 after recovering from its 1.3135 year-to-date low. Weaker US Treasury yields, expectations for the Fed to hold rates and stronger UK GDP data support the pair. Traders are monitoring resistance at 1.3343, 1.3406 and 1.3468, with initial support near 1.3265.

WARSH WON’T PRE-JUDGE OCTOBER OR DECEMBER AS DXY SLIPS TO 101.82

Daily Market Update

WARSH WON’T PRE-JUDGE OCTOBER OR DECEMBER AS DXY SLIPS TO 101.82

The US Dollar Index slips to 101.82 as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh leaves the October and December policy decisions open. Markets will monitor inflation, employment, economic output and further Fed communication for clues on the US Dollar’s near-term direction.

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